Category: Market Analysis
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Week Ahead: Markets on Edge, FX & Bond Drivers
U.S. economic data will remain a primary focus as the Federal Reserve approaches interest rate decisions cautiously. October’s inflation uptick and potential inflationary pressures from the President-elect’s policies have added complexity to the outlook. Additionally, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from the U.S. will serve as a crucial gauge for market sentiment. Across the globe,…
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Week Ahead: A Look Ahead
In the upcoming week, the financial world will closely watch U.S. inflation and retail sales data, two key indicators for understanding consumer demand and price pressures. Investors are still weighing the broader impact of the recent GOP electoral win, which has stirred debates over economic policy direction and market response. Federal Reserve Chair Powell has…
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Week Ahead: Make America Great Again
Markets are highly reactive, shifting focus rapidly from trends like the carry-trade unwind to U.S. election impacts. Beijing’s recent steps to support its property and stock markets, along with efforts to stabilize local government debt, have now been overshadowed by the approaching U.S. election, which is expected to drive substantial market shifts. Earlier, expectations that…
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Week Ahead: Dollar’s Four-Week Rally & Election Speculation
The US dollar has continued its strong rebound against major currencies for the fourth week in a row. Two key factors are driving this rally. First, there’s been a shift in expectations around the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Initially, markets were pricing in the possibility of 75 basis points in rate cuts before year-end. However,…
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Week Ahead: Dollar Strengthens, Election Uncertainty Looms
The dollar gained against all G10 currencies last week, but higher US interest rates didn’t drive it. Instead, the 10-year Treasury yield fell for the first time in five weeks, and the two-year yield held steady. The real story was falling rates in other countries, leading to a widening US rate advantage. The US two-year…
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Week Ahead: USD Stalls, Market Shifts Focus to Europe’s Rate Decisions
The US dollar and interest rates surged following stronger-than-expected September jobs data and firm inflation readings, although Federal Reserve officials’ views seemed largely unaffected. The latest Summary of Economic Projections showed a split on rate cut expectations for Q4, with ten officials supporting a 50 basis point reduction, while seven favoured a smaller, quarter-point cut….
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Week Ahead: U.S. Employment Surge Reinforces Fed’s Easing Path
Last week brought several important developments that will influence the investment landscape. First, the US September employment report exceeded expectations, reinforcing Fed Chair Powell’s stance. The Federal Reserve initiated an easing cycle with a 50 bp rate cut and is expected to proceed with two 25 bp cuts in Q4. Market expectations have now aligned…
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Week Ahead: Jobs Data & Inflation
As we approach the week of September 30th, several key global events are expected to influence forex and bond markets. U.S. jobs data will be in the spotlight as it significantly shapes how quickly the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates, following its recent 50 basis point cut. Investors are paying close attention to how this…
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Week Ahead: U.S. Rate Cuts
Following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 50 basis-point interest rate cut, the focus now turns to economic data, especially the PCE inflation figures, to gauge the pace of further rate cuts. The Fed’s decision marks the start of a potential easing cycle, following the path of several other central banks. In Europe, attention is on provisional…
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Week Ahead: Fed’s Interest Rate Decision Poised to Steer Global Markets
This week, global markets will closely watch several key central bank decisions. The U.S. Federal Reserve remains focused, with uncertainty surrounding whether it will opt for a small or more substantial interest rate cut. Speculation about a 50 basis point reduction has been building, particularly after recent CPI data. Last week saw significant market reactions,…