Category: Week Ahead

05/10/2024 Week Ahead U.S. Employment Surge Reinforces Fed’s Easing Path Last week brought several important developments that will influence the investment landscape. First, the US September employment report exceeded expectations, reinforcing Fed Chair Powell’s stance. The Federal Reserve initiated an easing cycle with a 50 bp rate cut and is expected to proceed with two… Continue reading U.S. Employment Surge Reinforces Fed’s Easing Path

28/09/2024 Week Ahead Jobs Data & Inflation As we approach the week of September 30th, several key global events are expected to influence forex and bond markets. U.S. jobs data will be in the spotlight as it significantly shapes how quickly the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates, following its recent 50 basis point cut. Investors… Continue reading Jobs Data & Inflation

21/09/2024 Week Ahead U.S. Rate Cuts Following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 50 basis-point interest rate cut, the focus now turns to economic data, especially the PCE inflation figures, to gauge the pace of further rate cuts. The Fed’s decision marks the start of a potential easing cycle, following the path of several other central banks.… Continue reading U.S. Rate Cuts

14/09/2024 Week Ahead Fed’s Interest Rate Decision Poised to Steer Global Markets This week, global markets will closely watch several key central bank decisions. The U.S. Federal Reserve remains focused, with uncertainty surrounding whether it will opt for a small or more substantial interest rate cut. Speculation about a 50 basis point reduction has been… Continue reading Fed’s Interest Rate Decision Poised to Steer Global Markets

07/09/2024 Week Ahead Inflation, Rate Cuts & Economic Signals Investors await U.S. inflation data, expecting potential Fed rate cuts. Recent jobs data reduced the chance of a 50 bp cut at the September FOMC meeting. Treasury yields fell, with the 2-10-year yield curve showing a positive slope for the first time since July 2022. The… Continue reading Inflation, Rate Cuts & Economic Signals

01/09/2024 Week Ahead Markets in Motion As summer transitions to fall, monetary policy and political events will significantly shape the business and investment environment. The market, initially expecting aggressive rate cuts in 2023, has now adjusted closer to central bank signals, with global rates rising and the dollar regaining strength in early 2024. The Federal… Continue reading Markets in Motion

24/08/2024 Week Ahead Fed Easing Expectations & Currency Shifts In the middle of last week, the Fed funds futures discounted 103 basis points of cuts for this year. After some movement following Fed Chair Powell’s remarks, the market finished the week with 104 basis points of cuts priced into the Fed funds futures curve. The… Continue reading Fed Easing Expectations & Currency Shifts

19/08/2024 Week Ahead The Jackson Hole Symposium Generally known as Jackson Hole, it is an annual conference of global central bankers. This year’s topic is Reassessing the Effectiveness and Transmission of Monetary Policy. All eyes are on the Jackson Hole Symposium as markets anticipate imminent Federal Reserve rate cuts. PMIs take the lead for European economies, with surveys assessing… Continue reading The Jackson Hole Symposium

10/08/2024 Week Ahead Price Action vs. Surprises in U.S. CPI A deluge of economic data is expected to shape market sentiment in the coming days. Investors will closely scrutinise key indicators from the United States, Europe, and Asia. Following recent weak U.S. jobs data, market participants will be keenly focused on inflation figures and other… Continue reading Price Action vs. Surprises in U.S. CPI

04/08/2024 Week Ahead Central Bank Drives Currencies United States of America Fed Easing to Weigh on USD The US Dollar (USD) is expected to weaken as the Federal Reserve (Fed) transitions towards a more accommodative monetary policy stance. The central bank’s anticipated rate cuts aim to bolster economic growth, reducing the USD’s appeal as a… Continue reading Central Bank Drives Currencies