Category: Week Ahead

Markets on Edge, FX & Bond Drivers

16/11/2024 Week Ahead Markets on Edge, FX & Bond Drivers U.S. economic data will remain a primary focus as the Federal Reserve approaches interest rate decisions cautiously. October’s inflation uptick and potential inflationary pressures from the President-elect’s policies have added complexity to the outlook. Additionally, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from the U.S. will serve… Continue reading Markets on Edge, FX & Bond Drivers

A Look Ahead

09/11/2024 Week Ahead A Look Ahead In the upcoming week, the financial world will closely watch U.S. inflation and retail sales data, two key indicators for understanding consumer demand and price pressures. Investors are still weighing the broader impact of the recent GOP electoral win, which has stirred debates over economic policy direction and market… Continue reading A Look Ahead

Make America Great Again

02/11/2024 Week Ahead Make America Great Again Markets are highly reactive, shifting focus rapidly from trends like the carry-trade unwind to U.S. election impacts. Beijing’s recent steps to support its property and stock markets, along with efforts to stabilize local government debt, have now been overshadowed by the approaching U.S. election, which is expected to… Continue reading Make America Great Again

Dollar’s Four-Week Rally & Election Speculation

26/10/2024 Week Ahead Dollar’s Four-Week Rally & Election Speculation The US dollar has continued its strong rebound against major currencies for the fourth week in a row. Two key factors are driving this rally. First, there’s been a shift in expectations around the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook. Initially, markets were pricing in the possibility of… Continue reading Dollar’s Four-Week Rally & Election Speculation

Dollar Strengthens, Election Uncertainty Looms

19/10/2024 Week Ahead Dollar Strengthens, Election Uncertainty Looms The dollar gained against all G10 currencies last week, but higher US interest rates didn’t drive it. Instead, the 10-year Treasury yield fell for the first time in five weeks, and the two-year yield held steady. The real story was falling rates in other countries, leading to… Continue reading Dollar Strengthens, Election Uncertainty Looms

USD Stalls, Market Shifts Focus to Europe’s Rate Decisions

12/10/2024 Week Ahead USD Stalls, Market Shifts Focus to Europe’s Rate Decisions The US dollar and interest rates surged following stronger-than-expected September jobs data and firm inflation readings, although Federal Reserve officials’ views seemed largely unaffected. The latest Summary of Economic Projections showed a split on rate cut expectations for Q4, with ten officials supporting… Continue reading USD Stalls, Market Shifts Focus to Europe’s Rate Decisions

U.S. Employment Surge Reinforces Fed’s Easing Path

05/10/2024 Week Ahead U.S. Employment Surge Reinforces Fed’s Easing Path Last week brought several important developments that will influence the investment landscape. First, the US September employment report exceeded expectations, reinforcing Fed Chair Powell’s stance. The Federal Reserve initiated an easing cycle with a 50 bp rate cut and is expected to proceed with two… Continue reading U.S. Employment Surge Reinforces Fed’s Easing Path

Jobs Data & Inflation

28/09/2024 Week Ahead Jobs Data & Inflation As we approach the week of September 30th, several key global events are expected to influence forex and bond markets. U.S. jobs data will be in the spotlight as it significantly shapes how quickly the Federal Reserve reduces interest rates, following its recent 50 basis point cut. Investors… Continue reading Jobs Data & Inflation

U.S. Rate Cuts

21/09/2024 Week Ahead U.S. Rate Cuts Following the U.S. Federal Reserve’s 50 basis-point interest rate cut, the focus now turns to economic data, especially the PCE inflation figures, to gauge the pace of further rate cuts. The Fed’s decision marks the start of a potential easing cycle, following the path of several other central banks.… Continue reading U.S. Rate Cuts