Category: Week Ahead

18/01/2025 Week Ahead President-elect Trump’s Inauguration Recent days have witnessed significant macroeconomic developments that could shape the market landscape. Firstly, U.S. economic data exceeded expectations, with Q4 GDP projected to grow around 3%. Federal Reserve Governor Waller hinted at a potential interest rate cut in the first half of the year, which the market has… Continue reading President-elect Trump’s Inauguration

12/01/2025 Week Ahead Inflation & Bond Market Next week’s focus will center on U.S. inflation data following stronger-than-expected job numbers. This could lead investors to reassess the likelihood of near-term interest rate cuts. The bond market, particularly U.K. government bonds, will be closely watched due to recent yield increases. U.K. inflation data is expected to… Continue reading Inflation & Bond Market

04/01/2025 Week Ahead Fed Minutes, U.S. Jobs Data As 2025 begins, a series of key economic developments will set the tone for global markets. In the U.S., critical data, including monthly jobs reports and Federal Reserve meeting minutes, will shape expectations around economic health and interest rate policy. This comes ahead of President-elect Donald Trump’s… Continue reading Fed Minutes, U.S. Jobs Data

15/12/2024 Week Ahead Fed Eyes December Rate Cut Last week saw significant moves from major central banks. The Swiss National Bank and the Bank of Canada reduced rates by 50 basis points, while the European Central Bank implemented a smaller 25 basis-point cut. These actions signal that the global monetary easing cycle may extend into… Continue reading Fed Eyes December Rate Cut

07/12/2024 Week Ahead U.S. Inflation Data, ECB Rate Decision The upcoming week focuses on key inflation data in the U.S., which remains pivotal as uncertainty around interest rate decisions persists. The European Central Bank (ECB) and Swiss National Bank (SNB) are expected to lower interest rates in Europe. Meanwhile, attention in Asia shifts to Australia’s… Continue reading U.S. Inflation Data, ECB Rate Decision

30/11/2024 Week Ahead Jobs & ISM Data, Indicators of Resilience As investors turn their focus back to U.S. economic data, critical indicators like November’s jobs report and ISM surveys will provide insights into the resilience of the U.S. economy. In Asia, attention is centred on purchasing managers’ surveys and inflation data, given concerns over how… Continue reading Jobs & ISM Data, Indicators of Resilience

23/11/2024 Week Ahead Dollar’s Q4 Rally & Economic Developments The dollar’s Q4 rally has been remarkable, with the Dollar Index rising more than 7% in the first eight weeks of the quarter. Last week saw half of the G10 currencies drop to new lows for the year. A significant factor behind the dollar’s strength is… Continue reading Dollar’s Q4 Rally & Economic Developments

16/11/2024 Week Ahead Markets on Edge, FX & Bond Drivers U.S. economic data will remain a primary focus as the Federal Reserve approaches interest rate decisions cautiously. October’s inflation uptick and potential inflationary pressures from the President-elect’s policies have added complexity to the outlook. Additionally, Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) data from the U.S. will serve… Continue reading Markets on Edge, FX & Bond Drivers

09/11/2024 Week Ahead A Look Ahead In the upcoming week, the financial world will closely watch U.S. inflation and retail sales data, two key indicators for understanding consumer demand and price pressures. Investors are still weighing the broader impact of the recent GOP electoral win, which has stirred debates over economic policy direction and market… Continue reading A Look Ahead

02/11/2024 Week Ahead Make America Great Again Markets are highly reactive, shifting focus rapidly from trends like the carry-trade unwind to U.S. election impacts. Beijing’s recent steps to support its property and stock markets, along with efforts to stabilize local government debt, have now been overshadowed by the approaching U.S. election, which is expected to… Continue reading Make America Great Again